Short-term Earthquake Prediction Based on Seismic Precursory Electric  Signals Recorded on Ground Surface.

 

 

 

GREECE'S SEISMIC POTENTIAL MAPS vs RELATED SEISMICITY IN NEXT FIVE YEARS

 

 

 

The lithospheric energy flow model was applied over the Greek territory, by using a grid shell of 100 x 100Km. That shell slides all over Greece, in steps of 50Km from West to East and from North to South. As a result of this operation, an overlapping of 50% was applied on the obtained results and a final grid of 50 x 50Km shell was resulted.

 

 

Before you study the content of this page please read the following three (3) papers  placed at the Cornell Un. data base.

 

    1. arXiv:0806.4772  [ pdf ]

 The seismogenic area in the lithosphere considered as an "Open Physical System". Its implications on some seismological aspects. Part - I. Accelerated deformation.

 

2. arXiv:0807.0897  [ pdf ]

 The seismogenic area in the lithosphere considered as an "Open Physical System". Its implications on some seismological aspects. Part - II. Maximum expected magnitude determination.

 

3. arXiv:0807.1428  [ pdf ]

 The seismogenic area in the lithosphere considered as an "Open Physical System". Its implications on some seismological aspects. Part - III. Seismic Potential

 

Click on (pdf) for complete paper download

Click on paper ID number to see its abstract at the Cornell data base.

 

 

Detailed analysis of the methodology can be found in the following:

4. Thanassoulas, C., 2007. Short-term Earthquake Prediction, H. Dounias & Co, Athens, Greece.

 ISBN No: 978-960-930268-5.          Magnitude determination.

 

 

Click on a year to see the energy map and the seismic events map:

     1970 - 1975 - 1980 - 1985 - 1990 - 1995 - 2000 - 2005 - 2010 - 2015 - 2020

 

 

Map 1970 - Seismic events 1971-1975

Fig. 1. Calculated seismic potential map, based, on data from 1950 to 1970

 

Fig. 1a. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 6R) during the period 1971 – 1975.

 

Fig. 1b. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 5.5R) during the period 1971 – 1975.

 

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Map 1975 - Seismic events 1976-1980

Fig. 2. Calculated seismic potential map, based, on data from 1950 to 1975

 

Fig. 2a. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 6R) during the period 1976 – 1980.

 

Fig. 2b. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 5.5R) during the period 1976 – 1980.

 

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Map 1980 - Seismic events 1981-1985

Fig. 3. Calculated seismic potential map, based, on data from 1950 to 1980

 

Fig. 3a. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 6R) during the period 1981 – 1985.

 

Fig. 3b. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 5.5R) during the period 1981 – 1985.

 

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Map 1985 - Seismic events 1986-1990

Fig. 4. Calculated seismic potential map, based, on data from 1950 to 1985

 

Fig. 4a. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 6R) during the period 1986 – 1990.

 

Fig. 4b. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 5.5R) during the period 1986 – 1990.

 

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Map 1990 - Seismic events 1991-1995

Fig. 5. Calculated seismic potential map, based, on data from 1950 to 1990

 

Fig. 5a. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 6R) during the period 1991 – 1995.

 

Fig. 5b. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 5.5R) during the period 1991 – 1995.

 

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Map 1995 - Seismic events 1996-2000

Fig. 6. Calculated seismic potential map, based, on data from 1950 to 1995

 

Fig. 6a. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 6R) during the period 1996 – 2000.

 

Fig. 6b. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 5.5R) during the period 1996 – 2000.

 

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Map 2000 - Seismic events 2001-2005

Fig. 7. Calculated seismic potential map, based, on data from 1950 to 2000

 

Fig. 7a. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 6R) during the period 2001 – 2005.

 

Fig. 7b. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 5.5R) during the period 2001 – 2005.

 

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Map 2005 - Seismic events 2006-2010

Fig. 8. Calculated seismic potential map, based, on data from 1900 to 2005

 

Fig. 8a. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 6R) during the period 2006 – 2010.

 

Fig. 8b. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 5.5R) during the period 2006 – 2010.

 

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Map 2010 - Seismic events 2011-2015

Fig. 9. Calculated seismic potential map, based, on data from 1900 to 2010

 

Fig. 9a. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 6R) during the period 2011 – 2015.

 

Fig. 9b. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 5.5R) during the period 2011 – 2015.

 

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Map 2015 - Seismic events 2016-2020

Fig. 10. Calculated seismic potential map, based, on data from 1900 to 2015

 

Fig. 10a. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 6R) during the period 2016 – 2020.

 

Fig. 10b. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 5.5R) during the period 2016 – 2020.

 

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Map 2020 - Seismic events 2021-2025

Fig. 11. Calculated seismic potential map, based, on data from 1900 to 2020

 

Fig. 11a. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 6R) during the period 2021 to date.

 

Fig. 11b. Strong seismic events (red circles, Ms> = 5.5R) during the period 2021 to date.

 

 

 

Last  update: 1 / 12 / 2024  

 

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