Short-term Earthquake Prediction Based on Seismic Precursory Electric  Signals Recorded on Ground Surface.

 

 

 

 

“What today seems impossible, is tomorrow’s reality”

                                                                              Dinos

 

M 6.8 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES 2024-08-02 22:23:03 UTC
M 6.3 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES 2024-08-03 04:20:29 UTC

 

Fig. 1. EQ Location (colored star, after EMSC).

 

 

Fig. 2. M1 tidal variation (black line)  v.s time of occurrence (red bar) of the  EQ.

 

 

Fig. 3. Diurnal  (K2) tidal variation (black line)  v.s time of occurrence (red bar) of the  EQ.

 

Fig. 4. Cummulative Seismic Energy Release (CSER) since 1901 in 1 month sampling interval.

 

 Fig. 5. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1907) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 6. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1923) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 7. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1942) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 8. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1990) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 9. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1992) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 10. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2012) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 11. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2018) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 12. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2021) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 


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