Short-term Earthquake Prediction Based on Seismic Precursory Electric  Signals Recorded on Ground Surface.

 

 

 

 

“What today seems impossible, is tomorrow’s reality”

                                                                              Dinos

 

M 6.1 VANUATU 2024-07-22 05:04:42 UTC
M 6.0 VANUATU 2024-07-22 05:04:28 UTC

 

Fig. 1. EQ Location (colored star, after EMSC).

 

 

Fig. 2. M1 tidal variation (black line)  v.s time of occurrence (red bar) of the  EQ.

 

 

Fig. 3. Diurnal  (K2) tidal variation (black line)  v.s time of occurrence (red bar) of the  EQ.

 

Fig. 4. Cummulative Seismic Energy Release (CSER) since 1901 in 1 month sampling interval.

 

 Fig. 5. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1904) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 6. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1950) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 7. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1965) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 8. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1973) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 9. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1985) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 10. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1990) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 11. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1999) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 12. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2007) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 13. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2010) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 14. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2012) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 15. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2021) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 


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