Short-term Earthquake Prediction Based on Seismic Precursory Electric  Signals Recorded on Ground Surface.

 

 

 

 

“What today seems impossible, is tomorrow’s reality”

                                                                              Dinos

 

M 6.4 MOLUCCA SEA 2024-04-09 09:48:02 UTC

 

Fig. 1. EQ Location (colored star, after EMSC).

 

 

Fig. 2. M1 tidal variation (black line)  v.s time of occurrence (red bar) of the  EQ.

 

 

Fig. 3. Diurnal  (K2) tidal variation (black line)  v.s time of occurrence (red bar) of the  EQ.

 

Fig. 4. Cummulative Seismic Energy Release (CSER) since 1901 in 1 month sampling interval.

 

 Fig. 5. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1910) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 6. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1931) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 7. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1936) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 8. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1986) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 9. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1994) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 10. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2007) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 11. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2014) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 12. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2020) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 13. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2021) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 14. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2023) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 


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