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Short-term Earthquake Prediction Based on Seismic Precursory Electric Signals Recorded on Ground Surface. |
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“What today seems impossible, is tomorrow’s reality” Dinos
M 6.8 KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA 2024-01-08 20:48:46 UTC
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HERE to see the calculated (on 2022/01/22) expected magnitude
Fig. 1. EQ Location (colored star, after EMSC).
Fig. 2. M1
tidal variation (black line) v.s time of occurrence (red bar) of
the EQ.
Fig. 3. Diurnal (K2) tidal variation (black
line) v.s time of occurrence (red bar) of the EQ.
Fig. 4. Cummulative Seismic Energy Release (CSER)
since 1901 in 1 month sampling interval.
Fig. 5. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
1918) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
Fig. 6. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
1923) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
Fig. 7. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
1935) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
Fig. 8. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
1972) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
Fig. 9. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
1976) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
Fig. 10. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
1984) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
Fig. 11. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
1989) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
Fig. 12. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
2001) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
Fig. 13. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
2002) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
Fig. 14. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
2009) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
Fig. 15. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
2017) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
Fig. 16. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
2019) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
Fig. 17. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of
the LSEFM (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since
2021) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.
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