Short-term Earthquake Prediction Based on Seismic Precursory Electric  Signals Recorded on Ground Surface.

 

 

 

 

“What today seems impossible, is tomorrow’s reality”

                                                                              Dinos

 

M 7.5 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES 2023-12-02 14:37:07 UTC
M 6.5 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES 2023-12-02 16:03:42 UTC
M 6.2 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES 2023-12-02 17:40:14 UTC
M 6.3 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES 2023-12-02 18:09:27 UTC
M 6.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES 2023-12-02 20:52:22 UTC
M 6.6 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES 2023-12-03 10:35:58 UTC
M 6.8 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES 2023-12-03 19:49:38 UTC

 

Fig. 1. EQ Location (colored star, after EMSC).

 

 

Fig. 2. M1 tidal variation (black line)  v.s time of occurrence (red bar) of the  EQ.

 

 

Fig. 3. Diurnal  (K2) tidal variation (black line)  v.s time of occurrence (red bar) of the  EQ.

 

Fig. 4. Cummulative Seismic Energy Release (CSER) since 1901 in 1 month sampling interval.

 

 Fig. 5. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1911) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 6. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1924) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 7. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1942) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 8. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1989) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 9. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1996) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 10. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1972) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

 Fig. 11. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2019) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 


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