Short-term Earthquake Prediction Based on Seismic Precursory Electric  Signals Recorded on Ground Surface.

 

 

 

 

“What today seems impossible, is tomorrow’s reality”

                                                                              Dinos

 

 M 6.3 WESTERN AFGHANISTAN 2023-10-07 06:41:03 UTC
M 6.3 WESTERN AFGHANISTAN 2023-10-07 07:12:50 UTC


 

Fig. 1. EQ Location (colored star, after EMSC)

 

 

Fig. 2. M1 tidal variation (black line)  v.s time of occurrence (red bar) of the  EQ.

 

 

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Fig. 3. Diurnal  (K2) tidal variation (black line)  v.s time of occurrence (red bar) of the  EQ.

Fig. 4. Cummulative Seismic Energy Release (CSER) since 1901 in 1 month sampling interval.

 Fig. 5. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1967) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

 

Fig. 6. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 1979) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

Fig. 7. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2010) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area.

Fig. 8. Expected EQ magnitude due to application of the LSEFM  (Lithospheric Seismic Energy Flow Model) on past (since 2010) seismic history of the regional seismogenic area

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