today seems impossible, is tomorrow’s reality”
The term “earthquake prediction” refers to the
knowledge of the earthquake prognostic parameters, that is the location,
the time of occurrence and its magnitude, for some time before it takes
place. According to the prognostic time window it is distinguished as:
long-term, referring to a time window of some decades of years,
medium-term, referring to a time window of a few years (2-3) and
short-term, referring to a time window of the order of up to a couple of
months, while sometime the term “immediate” is used when the time window
is of the order of a few days.
The aim of this web site is
a. to present the implemented earthquake prediction
deterministic specific procedure, by which, after introducing
different physical models that are related to the seismicity and
physical properties of a seismogenic area, allow us to use
conventional physics laws and mathematical analysis for the calculation
of the individual prognostic parameters.
b. to give the opportunity to other scientists, being
interested in the topic of earthquake prediction, for further research
related to the seismic precursory electric signals.
For the fulfillment of the aim of this
web site, all the details of the methodology (theoretical
analysis, application examples on real large EQs, used hardware,
collected raw data for the period 2003 - 2012), a detailed
monograph (374 pages) under the title "Short-term Earthquake Prediction"
written by Dr. Thanassoulas (Geophysicist) and published on 2007, are
freely downloadable in PDF form.
We hope you will enjoy touring in
this web site (it takes some hours to visit all of it) and encourage you
to apply and test this methodology in your own country (provided it is a
list of Cities v.s. regionally (for R = 150 Km) accumulated
seismic energy, expressed in terms of an EQ of equivalent
magnitude, determined by the application of the Lithospheric Seismic
Energy Flow Model (LSEFM) on the USGS EQ data base.
GLOBAL LIST OF CITIES click HERE.
GREEK LIST OF CITIES click HERE.
(Last update: May 6th, 2020)
Large EQs occurrence time is compared to M1
and Diurnal tidal components
that have been
calculated for each corresponding epicentral area as follows:
- For recent GLOBAL LARGE SEISMICITY
- For recent GREEK LARGE SEISMICITY
New "Preseismic Electric
Signals Data Acquisition System" presentation
(utilized with the cutting edge
of the current state
of the electronic technology)
ANNOUNCEMENT (April 9th, 2012)
ANNOUNCEMENT (May 25th, 2010)
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times since December 1st, 1999