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The term “earthquake prediction” refers to the
knowledge of the earthquake prognostic parameters, that is the location,
the time of occurrence and its magnitude, for some time before it takes
place. According to the prognostic time window it is distinguished as:
long-term, referring to a time window of some decades of years,
medium-term, referring to a time window of a few years (2-3) and
short-term, referring to a time window of the order of up to a couple of
months, while sometime the term “immediate” is used when the time window
is of the order of a few days.
The aim of this web site is
exactly this:
a. to present the implemented earthquake prediction
deterministic specific procedure, by which, after introducing
different physical models that are related to the seismicity and
physical properties of a seismogenic area, allow us to use
conventional physics laws and mathematical analysis for the calculation
of the individual prognostic parameters.
b. to give the opportunity to other scientists, being
interested in the topic of earthquake prediction, for further research
related to the seismic precursory electric signals.
For the fulfillment of the aim of this
web site, all the details of the methodology
(theoretical analysis, application examples on real large EQs, used
hardware, collected raw data for the period 2003 - 2009), a detailed monograph (374 pages) under the title "Short-term Earthquake
Prediction" written by Dr. Thanassoulas (Geophysicist) and published on
2007, are freely downloadable in PDF form.
We hope you will enjoy touring in
this web site (it takes some hours to visit all of it) and encourage you
to apply and test this methodology in your own country (provided it is a seismogenic
one). |